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    <loc>https://tristanvolpe.com/about</loc>
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    <lastmod>2026-06-04</lastmod>
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      <image:title>Home - Core Research</image:title>
      <image:caption>My research focuses on how the dual use nature of technology shapes arming and arms control dynamics in world politics. The foundation is an article with Jane Vaynman in International Organization, where we show that two attributes govern the prospects for arms control: how easily observers can distinguish military from civilian uses, and how deeply a technology is integrated across the defense and commercial sectors. Drawing on original data across every technology states have used to arm in the modern era, we find that many capabilities central to great-power competition fall into a “dead zone,” for arms control. The framework specifies options for AI governance and biological weapons arms control.</image:caption>
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      <image:title>Home - Book Manuscript</image:title>
      <image:caption>My book explains how the weak coerce the strong with nuclear technology. In Leveraging Latency: How the Weak Compel the Strong with Nuclear Technology (Oxford University Press, 2023), I present a new framework to explain when small states can use nuclear latency—the capacity to build atomic weapons—to compel concessions from larger superpowers. I find that coercion creates a dilemma between making threats and assurances credible. States need just enough bomb-making capacity to threaten proliferation, but not so much that it becomes too difficult to promise nuclear restraint.</image:caption>
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      <image:title>Home - About Me</image:title>
      <image:caption>My work has appeared in peer-review journals such as International Organization, Security Studies, and the Journal of Strategic Studies. I also write for general policy audiences in outlets such as Foreign Affairs, The Washington Quarterly, and War on the Rocks. I am based in Berlin. Previously, I worked on the Monterey Peninsula in California and held fellowships at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. I received political science degrees from the George Washington University (Ph.D.) and the University of California, Los Angeles (B.A.). You can reach me via volpe[at]ifsh.de or download full my CV here.</image:caption>
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    <loc>https://tristanvolpe.com/pagecv</loc>
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    <lastmod>2026-06-04</lastmod>
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    <lastmod>2018-12-14</lastmod>
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    <lastmod>2018-12-14</lastmod>
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    <lastmod>2025-05-09</lastmod>
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